Sunday, December 16, 2012

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Saturday, December 15, 2012

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Monday, November 12, 2012

Rejected by Science, yet again!

I've just had another rejection from Science magazine. My previous rejection from Science came almost instantaneously. It didn't pass the initial scan, and I heard back within a couple of days. This one took about two weeks, which means it did make it to the "Board of Reviewing Editors" but not to the peer review stage. Here is the statement I received:

"Your manuscript was evaluated for breadth of interest and interdisciplinary significance by our Board of Reviewing Editors and by in-house staff. Your work was compared to other manuscripts that we have received in the field of social sciences. Although there were no concerns raised about the technical aspects of the study, the consensus view was that your results would be better received and appreciated by an audience of sophisticated specialists in a long paper format. Thus, the overall opinion, taking into account our limited space and distributional goals, was that your submission did not appear to provide sufficient basic insight to be considered further for presentation to the broad readership of Science."

This is quite a generic blurb. It contains nothing that indicates just what they didn't like about the paper, other than that it "did not appear to provide sufficient basic insight." My guess is that no one in archaeology, or perhaps even in the social sciences, looked at the manuscript. Therefore the editors aren't able to say with confidence that it lacks basic insight, only that it appears to lack basic insight. This statement contains nothing that might help us revise the manuscript, or even a judgment on what specifically was good or bad about it.

I have complained before about bias in the selection of archaeology papers at Science. Now this could all just be my own sour grapes. Of course, I'm upset at my rejections. But conversations with a variety of colleagues suggest that my view of archaeological bias at Science is widespread. At the University of Toronto last week I was talking with colleagues about this topic, and one had a similar view of the archaeology papers that get published in the journal Nature: Nature publishes a biased selection of papers that do not accurately reflect the scope of scientific research in archaeology. For both journals, if it's not the earliest this or that, or something about a narrow range of topics not representative of research in the discipline, forget it!

A citation analysis of archaeology papers in those journals over the last ten years would be enlightening. Although not directly relevant to the issue of current bias in editorial policies, a paper by Lee Lyman, Michael O'Brien and Michael Schiffer (2005) does shed some light on the issue. They published a citation analysis for Science and Scientific American in the period 1940-2003. Their goal was to test whether the onset of the New Archaeology in the mid-1960s led to an increase in scientific articles (as judged by papers in those journals). They find,  instead, that an increase in papers began a decade earlier. (Personally I would question equating articles published in these outlets with the overall scientific content of the discipline). That article, however, does highlight some of the relevant factors in how the journal Science decides to publish archaeology, and it identifies past biases in coverage, some of which continue today.

First, they suggest that the archaeology coverage in Science focuses on "the most newsworthy archaeological phenomena. By 'newsworthy' we mean news of the 'oldest' or 'first' but also multidisciplinary pieces that catch the attention of numerous readers, scientist or not" (Lyman et al. 2005:159). They highlight the importance of "editorial choice" in determining the archaeological coverage in the journal.

Second, the graph of topics represented in Science (p.165) rings true for work since 2003. Most abundant in the period 2000-2003 were papers on  archaeometry and dating, followed by paleoenvironments, and then domestication. The other two categories -- "overviews" and "other" -- were much less frequent.

So, what about scientific archaeological research on other topics? Sorry, they are just not "newsworthy" for Science.

Lyman, R. Lee, Michael J. O'Brien, and Michael B Schiffer
    2005    Publishing archaeology in Science and Scientific American, 1940-2003. American Antiquity 70: 157-168.

Saturday, November 10, 2012

Can causality be opposed to explanation?



Greetings from Toronto, where I gave some talks and had a great time with the archaeologists at the University of Toronto.

Actually, I don't particularly like epistemology.

I just read American Anthropologist’s 2012 review article on archaeological publications in 2011 (Hauser 2012). I came away confused about author Mark Hauser’s epistemology. I can’t seem to translate his approach into my own understanding of social science concepts of explanation and causality. Like many archaeologists, Hauser seems reluctant to discuss these things clearly and explicitly, leaving readers to puzzle them out from fragmentary and cryptic phrases.

I was particularly confused by two statements in Hauser’s paper:

·       “addressing long-standing questions about agriculture with new data require a shift from causality to explanations of process in specified contexts.” (p. 185)

·       “One major shift was a general move from the search for causes to explanation of cultivation, domestication, and farming.” (p. 186).

I find this puzzling, because to me, explanation meansfinding the cause for something. So what does Hauser mean by a shift from causality to explanation? His phrasing suggests that causality is the old and bad way of looking at things, while explanation is a new and good approach. This statement might give a clue:

·       “interpretive narratives find their expressions in situated explanations—a grounding in the messy idiosyncrasies of evidence—context—culture—history that run counter to more ambitious inclinations to craft explanatory models of history at larger scales.” (p.184)

Leaving aside the confusing conjunction of four words with hyphens, this statement suggests that Hauser is advocating explanation at a small scale. But does he mean a smaller spatial scale (we should concentrate on explaining a particular event in a particular place, not a large-scale spatial process like an empire or world system)? Or does he mean a smaller analytical scale (we should explain this particular household, and not households in general)? In my view, we need to explain things at a variety of spatial and analytical scales, and it doesn’t make much sense to prefer one level over another. It depends on the research question one is asking.

To me, talk of explanations at different scales suggests the concepts of proximate and ultimate causality. These concepts were first articulated in biology by Ernst Mayr (Mayr 1961). Proximate causes concern immediate factors such as ontogeny, and ultimate causes produce evolutionary explanations. While new work in biology has complicated this dichotomy, the basic distinction remains important in that field (Laland et al. 2011).
The proximate-ultimate distinction in causality is also important in the social sciences:

·       “ultimate explanations are concerned with why a behavior exists, and proximate explanations are concerned with how it works.”(Scott-Phillips et al. 2011:38)

Some writers parallel the approach of Laland et al in biology by advocating a more complex concept of social causation, but retaining the basic insight of the proximate/ultimate distinction. John Gerring (2005, 2012), for example, talks about “causal distance”: how far is the cause from the event it generates? Lieberson and Lynn (2002) use the phrases “underlying conditions” and “precipitating conditions” for these concepts.

But I don’t think this is the kind of thing Hauser has in mind, since he seems hostile to (or at least dismissive of) the concept of causality.

OK, let’s step back and look at what kinds of explanatory models are available in the social sciences (and, by extension, in archaeology). I always return to Charles Tilly for this kind of thing. I’m not a very good abstract thinker, and Tilly clarifies many epistemological issues in terms I can understand. According to Tilly, five explanatory strategies are available in the social and historical sciences. The following is my paraphrasing of: Tilly (2001:365) and Tilly and Goodin (2006:12-13); see also Tilly (2008). The text following *** are my own comments.

1.     Skepticism.The world is too complex to explain. *** I think this would be the strong postmodern position.
2.     Law-seeking accounts. Social life is said to exhibit empirical regularities that at their highest level take the form of laws; explanation then consists of subsuming particular cases under broadly validated empirical generalizations or even universal laws. *** This  is “logical positivism,” a framework associated with Carl Hempel. Binford and the new archaeologists promoted this approach to explanation, EVEN THOUGH IT HAD ALREADY BEEN DISCREDITED FOR SOCIAL SCIENCE BY PHILOSOPHERS OF SCIENCE! This was one of the biggest mistakes of Binford and the new archaeology, and it set archaeological epistemology back for decades!
3.     Propensity accounts. Social units are seen as self-directing, whether driven by emotions, motives, interests, rational choices, genes, or something else. Explanation then consists of reconstructing the state of the social unit—for example, an individual’s beliefs at a given point in time and space—and plausibly relating its actions to that state.  *** Most examples of propensity accounts follow methodological individualism, or the standard model in economics that says social phenomenon can be explained by the goals, decisions, and behavior of individuals. But other individual-level approaches, such as phenomenology, probably fit here as well.
4.     Systemic explanations. Particular features of social life are explained by specifying their connections with putative larger entities: societies, cultures, mentalities, capitalist systems, and the like. Explanation then consists of locating elements within systems. Functional explanation is a subcategory of systemic explanations. *** This includes both cultural explanations and explanations invoking large structural features such as social classes or world systems.
5.     Mechanism-based accounts. This approach claims that explanation consists of identifying in particular social phenomena reliable causal mechanisms and processes of general scope. Causal mechanisms are events that alter relations among some set of elements. Processes are frequent (but not universal) combinations and sequences of causal mechanisms. *** This is the way I think about explanation and causality. To explain an event is to identify the mechanisms responsible for bringing about that event. There is a BIG literature outside of anthropology on causal mechanisms. Some good starting points are:  (Bunge 2004), (Hedström and Ylikoski 2010), (Sampson 2011), and various works by Tilly, e.g. (Tilly 2008). Or check out Daniel Little’s blog, “Understanding Society” and search it for mechanisms.

When I started thinking about Hauser’s puzzling statements on causality and explanation, I thought Tilly’s scheme of the five explanatory approaches would clarify the situation, but now I’m not so sure. I still can’t figure out what Hauser’s explanatory position is, or how he can oppose the terms causality and explanation. I have almost given up trying to understand archaeological writing in this genre, that might be called “postmodern-light.”  I guess I will just have to admit defeat here.

My broader point is that archaeologists need to discuss epistemology more frequently, more explicitly, and more in tune with the relevant social science literature. Our own field has a rather poor track record in this area, and cultural anthropology is not much better. If this stuff is new to you, check out Tilly or Bunge or some of the other sources below. When I find myself in a conceptual difficulty, I often ask myself, “what would Tilly say about this?” Maybe you should ask that question too.


Bunge, Mario
2004    How Does It Work?: The Search for Explanatory Mechanisms. Philosophy of the Social Sciences 34(2):182-210.

Gerring, John
2005    Causation: A Unified Framework for the Social Sciences. Journal of Theoretical Politics 17:163-198.

2012    Social Science Methodology: A Unified Framework. 2nd ed. Cambridge University Press, New York.

Hauser, Mark W.
2012    The Year in Review, Archaeololgy: Messy Data, Ordered Questions. American Anthroologist 114(2):184-195.

Hedström, Peter and Petri Ylikoski
2010    Causal Mechanisms in the Social Sciences. Annual Review of Sociology 36:49-67.

Laland, Kevin N., Kim Sterelny, John Odling-Smee, William Hoppitt, and Tobias Uller
2011    Cause and Effect in Biology Revisited: Is Mayr's Proximate-Ultimate Dichotomy Still Useful? Science 334:1512-1515.

Lieberson, Stanley and Freda B. Lynn
2002    Barking up the Wrong Branch: Scientific Alternatives to the Current Model of Sociological Science. Annual Review of Sociology 28:1-19.

Mayr, Ernst
1961    Cause and Effect in Biology. Science134:1501-1506.

Sampson, Robert J.
2011    Neighborhood Effects, Causal Mechanisms and the Social Structure of the City. In Analytical Sociology and Social Mechanisms, edited by Pierre Demeulenaere, pp. 227-249. Cambridge Universitiy Press, New York.

Scott-Phillips, Thomas C., Thomas E. Dickins, and Stuart A. West
2011    Evolutionary Theory and the Ultimate–Proximate Distinction in the Human Behavioral Sciences. Perspectives on Psychological Science6(1):38-47.

Tilly, Charles
2001    Relational Origins of Inequality. Anthropological Theory 1(3):355-372.

2008    Explaining Social Processes. Paradigm Publishers, Boulder, CO.

Tilly, Charles and Robert E. Goodin
2006    It Depends. In Oxford Handbook of Contextual Political Analysis, edited by Robert E. Goodin and Charles Tilly, pp. 3-32. Oxford University Press, New York.



Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Open Access video

I missed Open Access Week last week, but here is a great video on OA from Jorge Cham (of PhD comix (Piled Higher and Deeper). It is a bit limited in its conception, ignoring important distinctions such as Green OA vs. Gold OA (it is only about the latter). But as a rationale for OA for scientists and scholars, it is great:



OA video, click here.



I love these illustrated/animated lectures. My favorite is David Harvey's lecture on Crises of Capitalism, part of the British series "RSA Animate"). Okay, now who is going to do the artwork for one of my lectures?







Thursday, October 25, 2012

What kind of journal should you publish in?

You have a great paper to submit to a journal for publication. What journal should you pick? Should you aim high, at a top-tier journal, or try for a lower-ranking journal? Your chances are better at the latter, but the publicity and prestige are much better at the former. Sometimes lower-ranking journals are more efficient in getting papers reviewed and published, so in many cases you will have a publication in hand much sooner if you go for the lower-ranking journal. Even if the top journal is fast, a rejection means more time formatting and rewriting the paper for a new journal.

 We all face these choices, but they loom larger for graduate students and young scholars. They need quick publications, which would favor a lower-ranking journal. But a paper in a top journal looks awfully good on your CV. These questions are on my mind now as I begin looking over applications for an archaeology position in my unit. Candidate A has two papers in top journals, but candidate B (at the same level of seniority) has three papers in lower-ranking journals plus two book chapters. Yes, but candidate A has a bunch of papers in conference proceedings.

There is no easy rule of thumb for deciding where to send a paper, but here are a few thoughts. I don't claim to be an expert or to speak for anybody else; these are my personal opinions. If you are thinking about this question in relation to job searches, another complexity enters the stage: will search committees only count publications in hand, will they look at accepted papers, or will they also consider papers under review?

Journal ranking


Journal ranking is a major consideration. Top journals have much wider readership and much more prestige. I've talked about my experiences trying to publish in Science previously (and for some reason, that post is wildly popular, the only entry from this blog with a steady stream of thousands of hits a month. Maybe the thousand of authors rejected by Science find it comforting). My Science rejection ended up in PNAS, "Papers Not Acceptable to Science."  Oops, that should be Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Not a slouch of a publication (much higher ranked than any archaeology journal), but still not on the same level as Science or Nature. Journals are full of excellent published papers that were previously rejected from another journal, typically from a higher-ranking journal. Although I did just come across a paper rejected by a lower-ranking journal published in a higher-ranking journal.

Journals are often divided into levels. A typical scheme is:
  • International: A top journal with an international readership and reputation.
  • National: An excellent journal of national scope.
  • Regional: A journal with a regional focus. These are far more important in archaeology than in other fields, since our research has a strong place-orientation and since we have to publish a lot of data reports.
  • Semi-journal: A publication whose status as peer-reviewed is uncertain.
  • Newsletter: A non-peer-reviewed serial publication.
My typical advice to students is to aim higher rather than lower on the chart, but not too high. Try to get realistic feedback about whether a paper is likely to be considered seriously by a top journal.  The ranking of a journal is not any kind of secure measure of the quality of an article. In archaeology, some of the best work is published in regional journals - they can be quick and they are read by the regional specialists who may or may not read the higher-ranking journals. And some of the top journals contain a surprisingly high number of real stinkers of articles. I won't mention any cases here, but some journals today seem more interested in fashionable nonsense than in solid empirical research.

Non-English language journals

English-speakers who do research in other countries have to publish in local journals. This can be more difficult if it requires publishing in another language. I once translated a paper into Spanish for a Mexican journal. I gave it to a bi-lingual secretary in Cuernavaca who offered to check the translation. After looking it over, she asked if I would mind if she re-translated it from English. Wow. That was the last time I tried translated my own writing into Spanish; now I either write directly in Spanish, or pay for a translator.

But publishing in foreign journals has another downside. Many U.S. scholars without experience in international research or scholarship assume that foreign journals are not peer reviewed. I know of one case where it nearly cost an archaeologist tenure and promotion because the search committee did not want to count journal articles published in a Latin American country. But even if one's colleagues are not so biased as this, it can be difficult to evaluate how non-English language journals rank with respect to English-language journals. I know for a fact that many Mexican journals have rigorous peer review processes. So in evaluating whether to publish in other languages, one has to balance the benefits of publishing in the country of research  (for which there are many benefits and positive features) versus the potential downside of having others possibly evaluate one's publications lower.

Turnaround time


This is another very important factor in deciding where to publish. If you care about how long it will take to get into print, then you want a journal that is quick. I've commented previously about fast review times for the Journal of Anthropological Archaeology and for Urban Studies. And don't forget the three days it took Science to reject my paper! Can't complain on that measure.

It can be difficult to get accurate data on turnaround time. This information is rarely published in a public location, and it is in the interest of slow journals to suppress or cover up the actual record of their turnaround time. In my field, Mesoamerican archaeology, the two top journals are both VERY slow to get papers reviewed, and then to get accepted papers into print. It is hard to say just how slow they are, however. My judgment is based on my own experiences and on talking with colleagues, many of whom complain bitterly about the time delays. I could tell a few choice stories here, but I will refrain. I had a short descriptive paper on urban neighborhoods at Maya cities, and I didn't even consider those two journals because of the time delay. I was going to send it to a regional journal/semi-journal, but the editor of a French international journal expressed an interest and said they could review it quickly. I submitted it, and the process was quick, convenient, and of high quality (the Journal de la Société del Américanistes). I thought it would be better to get the paper out more quickly than to wait for it to come out in a higher-ranked journal with wider readership, and I think I made the right decision.

Edited volumes


What about edited volumes? It is usually much easier to get a paper into an edited volume, especially if it originated at a symposium at a meeting. But if you have followed this blog for a while you already know of my (low) opinions of most edited volumes in archaeology. The corollary of that view is that in most (but not all) cases, I would advise sending a good paper to a journal rather than putting it in an edited volume. See:

But the most important advice I can offer is to get off your duff and finish that article!

Monday, October 22, 2012